Stock Analysis

CMOC Group Limited's (HKG:3993) market cap dropped HK$4.5b last week; Individual investors bore the brunt

SEHK:3993
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Key Insights

  • Significant control over CMOC Group by individual investors implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
  • A total of 2 investors have a majority stake in the company with 51% ownership
  • 16% of CMOC Group is held by Institutions

A look at the shareholders of CMOC Group Limited (HKG:3993) can tell us which group is most powerful. We can see that individual investors own the lion's share in the company with 32% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And following last week's 3.4% decline in share price, individual investors suffered the most losses.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of CMOC Group.

Check out our latest analysis for CMOC Group

ownership-breakdown
SEHK:3993 Ownership Breakdown August 8th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About CMOC Group?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that CMOC Group does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at CMOC Group's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3993 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 8th 2024

CMOC Group is not owned by hedge funds. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Cathay Fortune Corporation Limited with 26% of shares outstanding. Sichuan Contemporary Amperex Technology Limited is the second largest shareholder owning 25% of common stock, and BlackRock, Inc. holds about 1.7% of the company stock.

To make our study more interesting, we found that the top 2 shareholders have a majority ownership in the company, meaning that they are powerful enough to influence the decisions of the company.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of CMOC Group

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own less than 1% of CMOC Group Limited. However, it's possible that insiders might have an indirect interest through a more complex structure. Being so large, we would not expect insiders to own a large proportion of the stock. Collectively, they own HK$97m of stock. Arguably recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 32% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Private Equity Ownership

With a stake of 26%, private equity firms could influence the CMOC Group board. Some investors might be encouraged by this, since private equity are sometimes able to encourage strategies that help the market see the value in the company. Alternatively, those holders might be exiting the investment after taking it public.

Private Company Ownership

We can see that Private Companies own 25%, of the shares on issue. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand CMOC Group better, we need to consider many other factors.

I like to dive deeper into how a company has performed in the past. You can find historic revenue and earnings in this detailed graph.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.