Stock Analysis

SANVO Fine Chemicals Group (HKG:301) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SEHK:301
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that SANVO Fine Chemicals Group Limited (HKG:301) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for SANVO Fine Chemicals Group

How Much Debt Does SANVO Fine Chemicals Group Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, SANVO Fine Chemicals Group had CN¥220.6m of debt, up from CN¥205.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥38.5m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥182.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:301 Debt to Equity History November 10th 2023

How Healthy Is SANVO Fine Chemicals Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that SANVO Fine Chemicals Group had liabilities of CN¥458.7m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥85.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥38.5m and CN¥91.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥414.4m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥513.5m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

SANVO Fine Chemicals Group has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.2 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.4 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. The silver lining is that SANVO Fine Chemicals Group grew its EBIT by 133% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SANVO Fine Chemicals Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, SANVO Fine Chemicals Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, SANVO Fine Chemicals Group's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that SANVO Fine Chemicals Group's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for SANVO Fine Chemicals Group (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SANVO Fine Chemicals Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.