Stock Analysis

Perennial Energy Holdings Limited's (HKG:2798) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 31%

SEHK:2798
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Perennial Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:2798) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 31% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may still consider Perennial Energy Holdings as a highly attractive investment with its 3.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Perennial Energy Holdings' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Perennial Energy Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2798 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Perennial Energy Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Perennial Energy Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 46% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Perennial Energy Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Perennial Energy Holdings' recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Perennial Energy Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Perennial Energy Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Perennial Energy Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Perennial Energy Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.