Hop Fung Group Holdings (HKG:2320) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. On that note, looking into Hop Fung Group Holdings (HKG:2320), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Hop Fung Group Holdings, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0079 = HK$15m ÷ (HK$2.2b - HK$346m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
Thus, Hop Fung Group Holdings has an ROCE of 0.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Packaging industry average of 12%.
See our latest analysis for Hop Fung Group Holdings
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Hop Fung Group Holdings, check out these free graphs here.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Hop Fung Group Holdings. To be more specific, the ROCE was 4.0% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Hop Fung Group Holdings becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Bottom Line On Hop Fung Group Holdings' ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Hop Fung Group Holdings is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 66% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about Hop Fung Group Holdings, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them is significant.
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About SEHK:2320
Hop Fung Group Holdings
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells corrugated paper ware products in the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.