Stock Analysis

China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Company Limited's (HKG:2198) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

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SEHK:2198

There wouldn't be many who think China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Company Limited's (HKG:2198) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Chemicals industry in Hong Kong is similar at about 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals

SEHK:2198 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 14th 2024

How Has China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 49% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 58% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 34% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

You need to take note of risks, for example - China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.