Dongyue Group Valuation
Is 189 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 189 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 189 (HK$6.68) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$5.13)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 189 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 189?
Key metric: As 189 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 189's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 14.7x |
| Earnings | CN¥731.57m |
| Market Cap | CN¥10.38b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 7.2x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 189's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 26.9x | ||
336 Huabao International Holdings | 63.8x | n/a | HK$7.4b |
6616 Global New Material International Holdings | 20.3x | 29.0% | HK$4.4b |
3318 China Boton Group | 13x | n/a | HK$1.8b |
609 Tiande Chemical Holdings | 10.3x | n/a | HK$965.2m |
189 Dongyue Group | 14.7x | 42.6% | HK$11.2b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 189 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 189's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Chemicals Industry?
| 0 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
| 0 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 189 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Chemicals industry average (9.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 189's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 14.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 17.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 189 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | HK$6.68 | HK$11.89 +78.0% | 35.4% | HK$19.00 | HK$8.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’25 | HK$6.53 | HK$11.89 +82.1% | 35.4% | HK$19.00 | HK$8.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’25 | HK$7.77 | HK$11.90 +53.1% | 35.4% | HK$19.00 | HK$8.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’25 | HK$5.67 | HK$11.90 +109.8% | 35.4% | HK$19.00 | HK$8.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’25 | HK$6.53 | HK$12.55 +92.2% | 29.8% | HK$19.00 | HK$10.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jul ’25 | HK$8.49 | HK$12.57 +48.1% | 29.7% | HK$19.00 | HK$10.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’25 | HK$9.32 | HK$12.57 +34.9% | 29.7% | HK$19.00 | HK$10.00 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’25 | HK$6.93 | HK$9.99 +44.2% | 9.1% | HK$11.10 | HK$8.87 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | HK$7.34 | HK$9.99 +36.1% | 9.1% | HK$11.10 | HK$8.87 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | HK$7.12 | HK$8.54 +19.9% | 4.5% | HK$8.87 | HK$8.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | HK$5.26 | HK$8.37 +59.1% | 4.4% | HK$8.74 | HK$8.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Jan ’25 | HK$5.65 | HK$8.33 +47.4% | 3.9% | HK$8.65 | HK$8.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Dec ’24 | HK$5.89 | HK$9.84 +67.1% | 16.8% | HK$12.01 | HK$8.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | HK$6.18 | HK$9.84 +59.3% | 16.8% | HK$12.01 | HK$8.00 | HK$6.53 | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | HK$5.89 | HK$10.51 +78.4% | 17.5% | HK$12.50 | HK$8.00 | HK$7.77 | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | HK$6.74 | HK$10.01 +48.4% | 19.2% | HK$12.50 | HK$8.00 | HK$5.67 | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | HK$7.77 | HK$11.13 +43.2% | 14.7% | HK$12.50 | HK$8.00 | HK$6.53 | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | HK$5.86 | HK$11.24 +91.9% | 15.3% | HK$12.70 | HK$8.00 | HK$8.49 | 5 |
| Jun ’24 | HK$6.90 | HK$11.24 +62.9% | 15.3% | HK$12.70 | HK$8.00 | HK$9.32 | 5 |
| May ’24 | HK$7.95 | HK$11.05 +39.0% | 17.0% | HK$12.70 | HK$8.00 | HK$6.93 | 4 |
| Apr ’24 | HK$8.10 | HK$11.24 +38.8% | 15.3% | HK$12.70 | HK$8.00 | HK$7.34 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | HK$8.95 | HK$11.73 +31.0% | 9.1% | HK$12.91 | HK$10.00 | HK$7.12 | 4 |
| Feb ’24 | HK$9.61 | HK$11.60 +20.7% | 8.0% | HK$12.37 | HK$10.00 | HK$5.26 | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | HK$8.59 | HK$11.78 +37.1% | 7.7% | HK$12.50 | HK$10.00 | HK$5.65 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | HK$8.60 | HK$12.10 +40.7% | 2.6% | HK$12.50 | HK$11.60 | HK$5.89 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | HK$7.38 | HK$12.25 +66.0% | 4.3% | HK$13.14 | HK$11.60 | HK$6.18 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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