Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Valuation

Is 1820 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1820 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1820 (HK$6.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1820 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1820?

Key metric: As 1820 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1820. This is calculated by dividing 1820's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1820's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.8x
Sales	CN¥2.05b
Market Cap	CN¥1.73b

1820 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	21.9x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1820's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1820 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.5x
2002 China Sunshine Paper Holdings	0.2x	n/a	HK$1.8b
468 Greatview Aseptic Packaging	0.9x	10.9%	HK$3.4b
450 Hung Hing Printing Group	0.4x	n/a	HK$889.0m
1626 Jia Yao Holdings	0.6x	n/a	HK$1.1b
1820 Pacific Millennium Packaging Group	0.8x	n/a	HK$1.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1820 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1820's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Packaging Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
3363 Zhengye International Holdings	0.07x	n/a	US$24.41m
794 Come Sure Group (Holdings)	0.09x	n/a	US$8.51m

No more companies available in this PS range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1820 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the Asian Packaging industry average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1820's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1820 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.8x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1820's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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