GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Limited (HKG:1203) will pay a dividend of HK$0.015 on the 15th of July. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 4.0%, which is around the industry average.
See our latest analysis for GDH Guangnan (Holdings)
GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Prior to this announcement, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 13.0% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 47%, which is definitely feasible to continue.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the first annual payment was HK$0.045, compared to the most recent full-year payment of HK$0.025. This works out to be a decline of approximately 5.7% per year over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Over the past five years, it looks as though GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s EPS has declined at around 13% a year. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.
Our Thoughts On GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for GDH Guangnan (Holdings) (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1203
GDH Guangnan (Holdings)
An investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of tinplates and related products in Hong Kong, Mainland China, rest of Asia, and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.