Stock Analysis

GDH Guangnan (Holdings) (HKG:1203) Has Re-Affirmed Its Dividend Of HK$0.01

SEHK:1203
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GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:1203) investors are due to receive a payment of HK$0.01 per share on 25th of October. This means the annual payment is 3.6% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for GDH Guangnan (Holdings)

GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 7.8% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 29% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1203 Historic Dividend September 13th 2021

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.06 in 2011, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.025. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 8.4% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. It's encouraging to see GDH Guangnan (Holdings) has been growing its earnings per share at 7.8% a year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.

In Summary

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for GDH Guangnan (Holdings) (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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