Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shougang Concord Century Holdings (HKG:103) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:103
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shougang Concord Century Holdings Limited (HKG:103) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Shougang Concord Century Holdings

What Is Shougang Concord Century Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Shougang Concord Century Holdings had HK$724.5m of debt, an increase on HK$664.6m, over one year. However, it also had HK$127.2m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$597.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:103 Debt to Equity History September 8th 2021

A Look At Shougang Concord Century Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shougang Concord Century Holdings had liabilities of HK$1.97b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$47.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$127.2m as well as receivables valued at HK$1.56b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$328.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Shougang Concord Century Holdings is worth HK$550.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.9, Shougang Concord Century Holdings uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 9.2 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. It is well worth noting that Shougang Concord Century Holdings's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 60% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shougang Concord Century Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Shougang Concord Century Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

The good news is that Shougang Concord Century Holdings's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Shougang Concord Century Holdings takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shougang Concord Century Holdings you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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