Stock Analysis

Is Hyfusin Group Holdings (HKG:8512) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:8512
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hyfusin Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8512) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Hyfusin Group Holdings

What Is Hyfusin Group Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hyfusin Group Holdings had HK$15.0m of debt in December 2023, down from HK$49.7m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has HK$336.8m in cash, leading to a HK$321.8m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8512 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024

How Strong Is Hyfusin Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hyfusin Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$172.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$9.35m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$336.8m in cash and HK$63.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has HK$218.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that Hyfusin Group Holdings' balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Hyfusin Group Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Hyfusin Group Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 47%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Hyfusin Group Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Hyfusin Group Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Hyfusin Group Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 21% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hyfusin Group Holdings has HK$321.8m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 47% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Hyfusin Group Holdings's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hyfusin Group Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hyfusin Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.