Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Kaisa Health Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:876) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 42%

SEHK:876
Source: Shutterstock

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Kaisa Health Group Holdings Limited (HKG:876) share price has dived 42% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Kaisa Health Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -1.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

For example, consider that Kaisa Health Group Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Kaisa Health Group Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:876 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 7th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kaisa Health Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Kaisa Health Group Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Kaisa Health Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5,337%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Kaisa Health Group Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Kaisa Health Group Holdings' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Kaisa Health Group Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Kaisa Health Group Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kaisa Health Group Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.