Stock Analysis

Jinxin Fertility Group (HKG:1951) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:1951
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Jinxin Fertility Group Limited (HKG:1951) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jinxin Fertility Group

What Is Jinxin Fertility Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Jinxin Fertility Group had debt of CN¥3.99b, up from CN¥154.4m in one year. However, it does have CN¥1.38b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥2.61b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1951 Debt to Equity History September 7th 2022

A Look At Jinxin Fertility Group's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jinxin Fertility Group had liabilities of CN¥2.75b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.62b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.38b as well as receivables valued at CN¥446.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.53b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Jinxin Fertility Group is worth CN¥10.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Jinxin Fertility Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.7, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 34.8 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Also relevant is that Jinxin Fertility Group has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 24% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jinxin Fertility Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Jinxin Fertility Group's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Both Jinxin Fertility Group's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle handle its debt, based on its EBITDA,. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Jinxin Fertility Group commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Jinxin Fertility Group is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Jinxin Fertility Group insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1951

Jinxin Fertility Group

An investment holding company, provides assisted reproductive services (ARS) in China and the United States.

Proven track record and fair value.

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