Stock Analysis

Is AK Medical Holdings Limited's (HKG:1789) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

Published
SEHK:1789

AK Medical Holdings (HKG:1789) has had a rough three months with its share price down 29%. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to AK Medical Holdings' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for AK Medical Holdings

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for AK Medical Holdings is:

9.0% = CN¥211m ÷ CN¥2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.09.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

AK Medical Holdings' Earnings Growth And 9.0% ROE

On the face of it, AK Medical Holdings' ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 9.9%, we may spare it some thought. Still, AK Medical Holdings has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.

We then compared AK Medical Holdings' net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 13% in the same 5-year period.

SEHK:1789 Past Earnings Growth March 6th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 1789? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is AK Medical Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

AK Medical Holdings' low three-year median payout ratio of 23%, (meaning the company retains77% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.

Additionally, AK Medical Holdings has paid dividends over a period of six years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 25%. However, AK Medical Holdings' ROE is predicted to rise to 13% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by AK Medical Holdings can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.