Ausnutria Dairy Corporation Ltd

SEHK:1717 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$4.4b

Ausnutria Dairy Valuation

Is 1717 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1717 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1717 (HK$2.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$8.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1717 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1717?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1717 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.9x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1717's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1717 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.2x
6868 Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings
21xn/aHK$4.2b
1458 Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings
78.5x55.7%HK$4.7b
1475 Nissin Foods
14.2x7.5%HK$5.0b
345 Vitasoy International Holdings
55.2x27.6%HK$6.9b
1717 Ausnutria Dairy
27.6x38.1%HK$4.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1717 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the peer average (42.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1717's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1717 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the Hong Kong Food industry average (16x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1717's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1717 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1717 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1717 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$2.31
HK$2.68
+16.2%
17.5%HK$3.15HK$2.21n/a2
Oct ’25HK$2.36
HK$2.68
+13.7%
17.5%HK$3.15HK$2.21n/a2
Sep ’25HK$1.87
HK$3.07
+64.3%
21.4%HK$3.83HK$2.22n/a3
Aug ’25HK$1.93
HK$3.13
+62.2%
15.5%HK$3.74HK$2.55n/a3
Jul ’25HK$2.22
HK$3.08
+38.7%
16.0%HK$3.74HK$2.55n/a3
Jun ’25HK$2.32
HK$3.23
+39.1%
15.1%HK$3.76HK$2.56n/a4
May ’25HK$2.31
HK$3.23
+39.7%
15.1%HK$3.76HK$2.56n/a4
Apr ’25HK$2.35
HK$3.25
+38.3%
13.5%HK$3.76HK$2.57n/a5
Mar ’25HK$2.53
HK$3.36
+32.6%
15.7%HK$4.04HK$2.58n/a5
Feb ’25HK$2.43
HK$3.36
+38.1%
15.7%HK$4.04HK$2.58n/a5
Jan ’25HK$2.61
HK$3.70
+41.7%
12.7%HK$4.25HK$2.89n/a6
Dec ’24HK$2.70
HK$3.70
+37.0%
12.7%HK$4.25HK$2.89n/a6
Nov ’24HK$2.80
HK$3.70
+32.1%
12.7%HK$4.25HK$2.89n/a6
Oct ’24HK$2.89
HK$4.14
+43.3%
29.1%HK$6.90HK$2.87HK$2.367
Sep ’24HK$3.27
HK$4.21
+28.8%
31.1%HK$6.96HK$2.90HK$1.876
Aug ’24HK$3.50
HK$4.53
+29.4%
28.7%HK$7.04HK$3.34HK$1.935
Jul ’24HK$3.43
HK$4.91
+43.0%
29.7%HK$7.34HK$3.48HK$2.224
Jun ’24HK$3.42
HK$4.91
+43.4%
29.7%HK$7.34HK$3.48HK$2.324
May ’24HK$3.74
HK$5.10
+36.3%
31.9%HK$7.32HK$3.47HK$2.313
Apr ’24HK$3.83
HK$5.46
+42.6%
36.2%HK$7.49HK$3.47HK$2.354
Mar ’24HK$4.35
HK$7.36
+69.2%
44.5%HK$14.92HK$4.54HK$2.537
Feb ’24HK$4.43
HK$8.07
+82.2%
44.3%HK$15.36HK$4.68HK$2.437
Jan ’24HK$4.19
HK$7.71
+84.0%
41.6%HK$14.75HK$4.49HK$2.618
Dec ’23HK$4.17
HK$7.80
+87.1%
37.2%HK$14.41HK$5.36HK$2.708
Nov ’23HK$3.70
HK$8.01
+116.5%
34.9%HK$14.45HK$5.38HK$2.809
Oct ’23HK$4.87
HK$8.01
+64.5%
34.9%HK$14.45HK$5.38HK$2.899

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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