Stock Analysis
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, CGN Mining Company Limited (HKG:1164) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for CGN Mining
What Is CGN Mining's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 CGN Mining had HK$2.74b of debt, an increase on HK$2.47b, over one year. On the flip side, it has HK$1.14b in cash leading to net debt of about HK$1.60b.
How Healthy Is CGN Mining's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CGN Mining had liabilities of HK$2.21b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$1.52b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$1.14b in cash and HK$902.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$1.69b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given CGN Mining has a market capitalization of HK$10.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CGN Mining's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, CGN Mining reported revenue of HK$8.5b, which is a gain of 104%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. So there's no doubt that shareholders are cheering for growth
Caveat Emptor
Even though CGN Mining managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost HK$175m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of HK$1.0b and the profit of HK$431m. So one might argue that there's still a chance it can get things on the right track. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that CGN Mining is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1164
CGN Mining
Engages in the development and trading of natural uranium resources to nuclear power plants.