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Does COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation (HKG:1138) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (HKG:1138) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation
How Much Debt Does COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Carry?
As you can see below, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation had CN¥23.0b of debt at March 2021, down from CN¥31.1b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥3.14b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥19.9b.
A Look At COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation had liabilities of CN¥9.79b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥19.9b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.14b and CN¥1.96b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥24.6b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥21.5b, we think shareholders really should watch COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.3, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Notably, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 100% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to handle its total liabilities. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation that you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1138
COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation
An investment holding company, engages in the shipment of oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and chemicals along the coast of the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.