Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited

SHSC:1788 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$9.8b

Guotai Junan International Holdings Valuation

Is 1788 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1788 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1788's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1788's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1788?

Key metric: As 1788 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1788. This is calculated by dividing 1788's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1788's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.5x
EarningsHK$276.78m
Market CapHK$9.83b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1788's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1788 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.6x
1375 Central China Securities
43.2xn/aHK$18.2b
3678 Holly Futures
103.5xn/aHK$9.0b
1428 Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group
6.8xn/aHK$3.8b
1456 Guolian Securities
32.7x44.8%HK$32.7b
1788 Guotai Junan International Holdings
35.5xn/aHK$9.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1788 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the peer average (46.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1788's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Capital Markets Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2799 China CITIC Financial Asset Management
4.2x-29.2%US$6.60b
8098 CL Group (Holdings)
3.7xn/aUS$11.02m
No more companies available in this PE range
1788 35.5xIndustry Avg. 21.3xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1788 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the Hong Kong Capital Markets industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1788's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1788 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1788's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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