Changyou Alliance Group Valuation

Is 1039 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1039 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1039 (HK$0.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$0.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1039 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1039?

Key metric: As 1039 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1039. This is calculated by dividing 1039's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1039's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.9x
Sales	CN¥184.26m
Market Cap	CN¥165.19m

1039 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1039's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1039 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	3.1x
8613 Oriental Payment Group Holdings	7.1x	n/a	HK$224.0m
818 Hi Sun Technology (China)	0.4x	n/a	HK$1.0b
9923 Yeahka	1.1x	11.1%	HK$4.2b
8279 AGTech Holdings	4x	n/a	HK$2.4b
1039 Changyou Alliance Group	0.9x	n/a	HK$177.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1039 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1039's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Diversified Financial Industry?

1 Company	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
1152 Momentum Financial Holdings	0.1x	n/a	US$9.46m

No more companies available in this PS range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1039 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the Hong Kong Diversified Financial industry average (1.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1039's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1039 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.9x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1039's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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