How does 839's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).

How does 839's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Consumer Services Industry?

839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the Hong Kong Consumer Services industry average (8.8x).

What is 839's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

839 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).

What is the Fair Price of 839 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

839 (HK$3.34) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$18.81)

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

839 Stock Overview

An investment holding company, engages in the operation of private higher and secondary vocational education institutions in Mainland China and Australia. More details

839 fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	2/6
Future Growth	3/6
Past Performance	1/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	2/6

Rewards

Trading at 82.2% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 25.36% per year

Risk Analysis

Dividend of 9.43% is not well covered by earnings or free cash flows

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

Profit margins (6.4%) are lower than last year (24.6%)

Large one-off items impacting financial results

My Notes

Capture your thoughts, links and company narrative

China Education Group Holdings Limited Competitors

China Chunlai Education Group

SEHK:1969

HK$5.2b

China East Education Holdings

SEHK:667

HK$5.7b

Fenbi

SEHK:2469

HK$5.6b

Tianli International Holdings

SEHK:1773

HK$7.8b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for China Education Group Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	HK$3.34
52 Week High	HK$5.91
52 Week Low	HK$3.33
Beta	0.85
1 Month Change	-5.65%
3 Month Change	-38.15%
1 Year Change	-30.85%
3 Year Change	-72.89%
5 Year Change	-68.07%
Change since IPO	-62.22%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	839	HK Consumer Services	HK Market
7D	-3.7%	-1.4%	-2.4%
1Y	-30.8%	-16.8%	16.2%

Return vs Industry: 839 underperformed the Hong Kong Consumer Services industry which returned -18.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: 839 underperformed the Hong Kong Market which returned 19.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is 839's price volatile compared to industry and market?
839 volatility
839 Average Weekly Movement	8.4%
Consumer Services Industry Average Movement	8.4%
Market Average Movement	8.2%
10% most volatile stocks in HK Market	16.5%
10% least volatile stocks in HK Market	3.7%

Stable Share Price: 839 has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Hong Kong market.

Volatility Over Time: 839's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1989	18,677	Kai Yu	www.chinaeducation.hk

China Education Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the operation of private higher and secondary vocational education institutions in Mainland China and Australia. The company offers junior college diploma, bachelor’s degree, master’s degree, continuing education programs, and vocational education programs. It also provides educational consultancy services.

China Education Group Holdings Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do China Education Group Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
839 fundamental statistics
Market cap	HK$9.06b
Earnings (TTM)	HK$445.36m
Revenue (TTM)	HK$7.01b

20.4x

P/E Ratio

1.3x

P/S Ratio

Is 839 overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
839 income statement (TTM)
Revenue	CN¥6.58b
Cost of Revenue	CN¥2.94b
Gross Profit	CN¥3.64b
Other Expenses	CN¥3.23b
Earnings	CN¥418.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Aug 31, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	0.15
Gross Margin	55.39%
Net Profit Margin	6.35%
Debt/Equity Ratio	55.2%

How did 839 perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

9.4%

Current Dividend Yield

180%

Payout Ratio

Does 839 pay a reliable dividends?

See 839 dividend history and benchmarks

When do you need to buy 839 by to receive an upcoming dividend?
China Education Group Holdings dividend dates
Ex Dividend Date	Feb 19 2025
Dividend Pay Date	Mar 26 2025
Days until Ex dividend	47 days
Days until Dividend pay date	82 days

Does 839 pay a reliable dividends?

See 839 dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/02 06:13
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings	2024/08/31
Annual Earnings	2024/08/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Education Group Holdings Limited is covered by 34 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Hong Xing Pan	ABCI Securities Company Limited
Tingting Li	BOCI Research Ltd.
Hiu Ying Chu	CCB International Securities Limited

839 Stock Overview

Rewards

Risk Analysis

China Education Group Holdings Limited Competitors

SEHK:1969

HK$5.2b

SEHK:667

HK$5.7b

SEHK:2469

HK$5.6b

SEHK:1773

HK$7.8b

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

China Education Group Holdings Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 August 2024, Payable on 26 March 2025

China Education Group Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jan 21, 2025

China Education Group Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Nov 26, 2024

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Insider recently bought HK$166m worth of stock

Recent updates

China Education Group Holdings Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 August 2024, Payable on 26 March 2025

China Education Group Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jan 21, 2025

China Education Group Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Nov 26, 2024

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Insider recently bought HK$166m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.21 per share

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

First half dividend of HK$0.21 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.42 (vs CN¥0.40 in 1H 2023)

China Education Group Holdings Limited Announces an Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 29 February 2024, Payable on 18 July 2024

China Education Group Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Apr 26, 2024

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.15 per share at 7.5% yield

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%

China Education Group Holdings Limited Recommends Final Ordinary Dividend for the Year Ended 31 August 2023, Payable on or Around 27 March 2024

China Education Group Holdings Limited Recommends Final Ordinary Dividend for the Year Ended 31 August 2023, Payable on or Around 27 March 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.55 (vs CN¥0.77 in FY 2022)

China Education Group Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jan 30, 2024

China Education Group Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Nov 27, 2023

Executive Co-Chairman recently bought HK$3.0m worth of stock

Executive Co-Chairman recently bought HK$3.1m worth of stock

Executive Co-Chairman recently bought HK$6.6m worth of stock

Executive Co-Chairman recently bought HK$13m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.19 per share at 5.7% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.40 (vs CN¥0.49 in 1H 2022)

Executive Co-Chairman recently bought HK$14m worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.40 (vs CN¥0.49 in 1H 2022)

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.37 per share at 3.4% yield

Now 21% undervalued

China Education Group Holdings Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of HKD 1.60818 billion.

Now 21% undervalued

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.77 (vs CN¥0.65 in FY 2021)

China Education Group Holdings Limited Announces Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 August 2022, Payable on 29 March 2023

China Education Group Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Nov 28, 2022

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

China Education Group Holdings Limited Announces Board Changes

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.49 (vs CN¥0.38 in 1H 2021)

Less than half of directors are independent

China Education Group Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Apr 28, 2022

Less than half of directors are independent

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.20 per share

China Education Group Holdings Limited Provides an Update on New Campus

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Executive Co-Chairman recently bought HK$5.0m worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

China Education Group Holdings Limited (SEHK:839) completed the acquisition of Long Link Investment Limited.

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.38 (vs CN¥0.25 in 1H 2020)