Stock Analysis

Should Miramar Hotel and Investment Company, Limited (HKG:71) Be Part Of Your Income Portfolio?

SEHK:71
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Could Miramar Hotel and Investment Company, Limited (HKG:71) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

With Miramar Hotel and Investment Company yielding 4.6% and having paid a dividend for over 10 years, many investors likely find the company quite interesting. It would not be a surprise to discover that many investors buy it for the dividends. Some simple analysis can offer a lot of insights when buying a company for its dividend, and we'll go through this below.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Miramar Hotel and Investment Company!

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SEHK:71 Historic Dividend November 19th 2020

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 57% of Miramar Hotel and Investment Company's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. This is a healthy payout ratio, and while it does limit the amount of earnings that can be reinvested in the business, there is also some room to lift the payout ratio over time.

In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. Miramar Hotel and Investment Company paid out 90% of its free cash last year. Cash flows can be lumpy, but this dividend was not well covered by cash flow. Miramar Hotel and Investment Company paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough free cash flow to cover the dividend. Were it to repeatedly pay dividends that were not well covered by cash flow, this could be a risk to Miramar Hotel and Investment Company's ability to maintain its dividend.

With a strong net cash balance, Miramar Hotel and Investment Company investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

We update our data on Miramar Hotel and Investment Company every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Miramar Hotel and Investment Company's dividend payments. The dividend has been cut on at least one occasion historically. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was HK$0.3 in 2010, compared to HK$0.6 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.8% a year over that time. The dividends haven't grown at precisely 6.8% every year, but this is a useful way to average out the historical rate of growth.

It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Miramar Hotel and Investment Company might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share (EPS) are growing. Why take the risk of a dividend getting cut, unless there's a good chance of bigger dividends in future? Miramar Hotel and Investment Company's EPS have fallen by approximately 15% per year during the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Miramar Hotel and Investment Company's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that Miramar Hotel and Investment Company's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. First, we think Miramar Hotel and Investment Company has an acceptable payout ratio, although its dividend was not well covered by cashflow. Earnings per share have been falling, and the company has cut its dividend at least once in the past. From a dividend perspective, this is a cause for concern. In this analysis, Miramar Hotel and Investment Company doesn't shape up too well as a dividend stock. We'd find it hard to look past the flaws, and would not be inclined to think of it as a reliable dividend-payer.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Miramar Hotel and Investment Company (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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