Tao Heung Holdings Limited (HKG:573) will pay a dividend of HK$0.03 on the 21st of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 7.1%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
View our latest analysis for Tao Heung Holdings
Tao Heung Holdings' Distributions May Be Difficult To Sustain
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. While Tao Heung Holdings is not profitable, it is paying out less than 75% of its free cash flow, which means that there is plenty left over for reinvestment into the business. In general, cash flows are more important than the more traditional measures of profit so we feel pretty comfortable with the dividend at this level.
Looking forward, earnings per share could 62.9% over the next year if the trend of the last few years can't be broken. This will push the company into unprofitability, which means the managers will have to choose between suspending the dividend, or paying it out of cash reserves.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from HK$0.128 total annually to HK$0.06. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 7.3% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. Over the past five years, it looks as though Tao Heung Holdings' EPS has declined at around 63% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.
Tao Heung Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tao Heung Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Tao Heung Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About SEHK:573
Tao Heung Holdings
An investment holding company, operates a chain of restaurants and bakeries in Hong Kong and Mainland China.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.