Keep Valuation

Is 3650 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3650 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 3650's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 3650's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3650?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3650 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-3.4x
PEG Ratio-0.03x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3650's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3650 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.4x
2373 Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry
16x21.4%HK$3.7b
1830 Perfect Medical Health Management
9.2x15.1%HK$3.0b
1448 Fu Shou Yuan International Group
13.2x13.5%HK$11.4b
1161 Water Oasis Group
7.1xn/aHK$666.9m
3650 Keep
2.5x-78.6%HK$3.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3650 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3650's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3650 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the Hong Kong Consumer Services industry average (5.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3650's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3650 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.5x
Fair PE Ratio1.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3650 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3650 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$6.47
HK$18.69
+188.8%
74.6%HK$32.63HK$4.75n/a2
Jun ’25HK$7.54
HK$18.69
+147.9%
74.6%HK$32.63HK$4.75n/a2
May ’25HK$7.50
HK$18.69
+149.2%
74.6%HK$32.63HK$4.75n/a2
Apr ’25HK$4.06
HK$18.69
+360.3%
74.6%HK$32.63HK$4.75n/a2
Mar ’25HK$4.56
HK$27.27
+498.1%
20.5%HK$32.86HK$21.69n/a2
Feb ’25HK$5.21
HK$27.27
+423.5%
20.5%HK$32.86HK$21.69n/a2
Jan ’25HK$13.94
HK$27.27
+95.7%
20.5%HK$32.86HK$21.69n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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