Asia Grocery Distribution Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 8413 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

8413 (HK$0.11) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$1.96)

Is 8413 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8413 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8413 (HK$0.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$1.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8413 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8413?

Key metric: As 8413 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8413. This is calculated by dividing 8413's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8413's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	60.6x
Earnings	HK$2.15m
Market Cap	HK$131.31m

8413 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	21.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8413's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8413 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9.5x
1705 B & S International Holdings	3.7x	n/a	HK$136.0m
1936 Ritamix Global	17.7x	n/a	HK$322.2m
1587 Shineroad International Holdings	8x	n/a	HK$316.2m
2321 Swang Chai Chuan	8.5x	n/a	HK$370.1m
8413 Asia Grocery Distribution	60.6x	n/a	HK$131.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8413 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.6x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8413's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8413 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.6x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8413's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8413 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	60.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8413's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.