Stock Analysis

Convenience Retail Asia Limited (HKG:831) Stock Goes Ex-Dividend In Just Four Days

SEHK:831
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It looks like Convenience Retail Asia Limited (HKG:831) is about to go ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Meaning, you will need to purchase Convenience Retail Asia's shares before the 27th of May to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 11th of June.

The company's upcoming dividend is HK$0.04 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of HK$0.06 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Convenience Retail Asia stock has a trailing yield of around 8.1% on the current share price of HK$0.74. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to investigate whether Convenience Retail Asia can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Check out our latest analysis for Convenience Retail Asia

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. It paid out 81% of its earnings as dividends last year, which is not unreasonable, but limits reinvestment in the business and leaves the dividend vulnerable to a business downturn. We'd be concerned if earnings began to decline. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Convenience Retail Asia generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Thankfully its dividend payments took up just 30% of the free cash flow it generated, which is a comfortable payout ratio.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see how much of its profit Convenience Retail Asia paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
SEHK:831 Historic Dividend May 22nd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Convenience Retail Asia's earnings per share have dropped 21% a year over the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Convenience Retail Asia has seen its dividend decline 20% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Convenience Retail Asia? The payout ratios are within a reasonable range, implying the dividend may be sustainable. Declining earnings are a serious concern, however, and could pose a threat to the dividend in future. It might be worth researching if the company is reinvesting in growth projects that could grow earnings and dividends in the future, but for now we're not all that optimistic on its dividend prospects.

If you're not too concerned about Convenience Retail Asia's ability to pay dividends, you should still be mindful of some of the other risks that this business faces. Be aware that Convenience Retail Asia is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious...

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Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Convenience Retail Asia is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.