Stock Analysis

Here's Why Kidztech Holdings (HKG:6918) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

SEHK:6918
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Kidztech Holdings Limited (HKG:6918) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Kidztech Holdings

How Much Debt Does Kidztech Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Kidztech Holdings had CN„155.9m of debt, up from CN„142.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN„132.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN„23.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6918 Debt to Equity History April 5th 2021

How Strong Is Kidztech Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kidztech Holdings had liabilities of CN„235.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN„11.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN„132.4m as well as receivables valued at CN„77.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN„36.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Kidztech Holdings has a market capitalization of CN„1.02b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Kidztech Holdings's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.40 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.1 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Shareholders should be aware that Kidztech Holdings's EBIT was down 26% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kidztech Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kidztech Holdings recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Kidztech Holdings's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example its net debt to EBITDA was refreshing. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Kidztech Holdings's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Kidztech Holdings (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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