Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Honma Golf Limited (HKG:6858) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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SEHK:6858

It looks like Honma Golf Limited (HKG:6858) is about to go ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Accordingly, Honma Golf investors that purchase the stock on or after the 12th of December will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 28th of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥1.50 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of JP¥3.00 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Honma Golf has a trailing yield of 4.9% on the current share price of HK$3.28. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Honma Golf

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Honma Golf paid out more than half (52%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It paid out more than half (71%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see how much of its profit Honma Golf paid out over the last 12 months.

SEHK:6858 Historic Dividend December 7th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. So we're not too excited that Honma Golf's earnings are down 2.2% a year over the past five years.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Honma Golf's dividend payments are broadly unchanged compared to where they were six years ago. When earnings are declining yet the dividends are flat, typically the company is either paying out a higher portion of its earnings, or paying out of cash or debt on the balance sheet, neither of which is ideal.

Final Takeaway

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Honma Golf? While earnings per share are shrinking, it's encouraging to see that at least Honma Golf's dividend appears sustainable, with earnings and cashflow payout ratios that are within reasonable bounds. Bottom line: Honma Golf has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Honma Golf. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Honma Golf you should be aware of.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Honma Golf might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.