Stock Analysis

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Allan International Holdings Limited (HKG:684) For Its Upcoming Dividend

SEHK:684
Source: Shutterstock

Readers hoping to buy Allan International Holdings Limited (HKG:684) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. Investors can purchase shares before the 15th of December in order to be eligible for this dividend, which will be paid on the 18th of January.

Allan International Holdings's upcoming dividend is HK$0.02 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of HK$0.09 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Allan International Holdings has a trailing yield of 5.8% on the current stock price of HK$1.54. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. As a result, readers should always check whether Allan International Holdings has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

See our latest analysis for Allan International Holdings

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Allan International Holdings reported a loss last year, so it's not great to see that it has continued paying a dividend. Given that the company reported a loss last year, we now need to see if it generated enough free cash flow to fund the dividend. If Allan International Holdings didn't generate enough cash to pay the dividend, then it must have either paid from cash in the bank or by borrowing money, neither of which is sustainable in the long term. It paid out 16% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservatively low.

Click here to see how much of its profit Allan International Holdings paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
SEHK:684 Historic Dividend December 10th 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Allan International Holdings was unprofitable last year and, unfortunately, the general trend suggests its earnings have been in decline over the last five years, making us wonder if the dividend is sustainable at all.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Allan International Holdings's dividend payments per share have declined at 9.0% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

Get our latest analysis on Allan International Holdings's balance sheet health here.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Allan International Holdings? We're a bit uncomfortable with it paying a dividend while being loss-making. However, we note that the dividend was covered by cash flow. Bottom line: Allan International Holdings has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Allan International Holdings. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Allan International Holdings that we strongly recommend you have a look at before investing in the company.

We wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here's a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

When trading Allan International Holdings or any other investment, use the platform considered by many to be the Professional's Gateway to the Worlds Market, Interactive Brokers. You get the lowest-cost* trading on stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide from a single integrated account. Promoted


New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.