Speedy Global Holdings Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 540 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

540 (HK$0.12) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$0.71)

Is 540 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 540 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 540 (HK$0.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$0.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 540 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 540?

Key metric: As 540 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 540. This is calculated by dividing 540's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 540's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	17.2x
Earnings	HK$4.29m
Market Cap	HK$75.60m

540 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.8x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 540's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 540 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	33.6x
483 Bauhaus International (Holdings)	62x	n/a	HK$75.3m
1433 Cirtek Holdings	3.6x	n/a	HK$87.5m
1749 Shanshan Brand Management	3.2x	n/a	HK$114.7m
1682 Hang Pin Living Technology	65.7x	n/a	HK$154.0m
540 Speedy Global Holdings	17.2x	n/a	HK$75.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 540 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the peer average (33.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 540's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Luxury Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
8211 Zhejiang Yongan Rongtong Holdings	1x	n/a	US$5.47m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 540 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the Hong Kong Luxury industry average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 540's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

540 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	17.2x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 540's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.