David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hing Lee (HK) Holdings Limited (HKG:396) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Hing Lee (HK) Holdings
What Is Hing Lee (HK) Holdings's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Hing Lee (HK) Holdings had debt of HK$81.8m, up from HK$69.8m in one year. However, it also had HK$46.0m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$35.8m.
How Healthy Is Hing Lee (HK) Holdings' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Hing Lee (HK) Holdings had liabilities of HK$131.5m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$9.44m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had HK$46.0m in cash and HK$41.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$53.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hing Lee (HK) Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$105.1m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Hing Lee (HK) Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.084 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, the silver lining was that Hing Lee (HK) Holdings achieved a positive EBIT of HK$491k in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hing Lee (HK) Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Hing Lee (HK) Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Hing Lee (HK) Holdings's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Hing Lee (HK) Holdings's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hing Lee (HK) Holdings (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hing Lee (HK) Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:396
Hing Lee (HK) Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, marketing, sale, and export of home furniture products in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.