Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Pak Tak International Limited (HKG:2668) With Shares Advancing 242%

SEHK:2668
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Despite an already strong run, Pak Tak International Limited (HKG:2668) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 242% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 138% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Pak Tak International as a stock not worth researching with its 2.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Pak Tak International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2668 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

How Pak Tak International Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Pak Tak International's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Pak Tak International will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Pak Tak International?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Pak Tak International's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 78% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 80% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Pak Tak International's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Pak Tak International's P/S Mean For Investors?

Pak Tak International's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Pak Tak International revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Pak Tak International (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.