Stock Analysis

Investors might be losing patience for China International Development's (HKG:264) increasing losses, as stock sheds 10% over the past week

Published
SEHK:264

The China International Development Corporation Limited (HKG:264) share price has had a bad week, falling 10%. But that doesn't detract from the splendid returns of the last year. We're very pleased to report the share price shot up 137% in that time. So it is important to view the recent reduction in price through that lense. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

Although China International Development has shed HK$74m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

View our latest analysis for China International Development

Because China International Development made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

In the last year China International Development saw its revenue shrink by 46%. So we would not have expected the share price to rise 137%. This is a good example of how buyers can push up prices even before the fundamental metrics show much growth. It's quite likely the revenue fall was already priced in, anyway.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SEHK:264 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 15th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that China International Development shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 137% over the last year. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 0.5% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China International Development better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with China International Development (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

Of course China International Development may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.