Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Ernest Borel Holdings Limited's (HKG:1856) P/S

SEHK:1856
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When close to half the companies in the Luxury industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Ernest Borel Holdings Limited (HKG:1856) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Ernest Borel Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1856 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 3rd 2023

What Does Ernest Borel Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Ernest Borel Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ernest Borel Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Ernest Borel Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Ernest Borel Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.0%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 2.9% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ernest Borel Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Ernest Borel Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Ernest Borel Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ernest Borel Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1856

Ernest Borel Holdings

An investment holding company, engages in the designing, manufacturing, marketing, and selling Swiss-made mechanical and quartz premium watches for men and women under the Ernest Borel brand in the People's Republic of China, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macau, Korea, Southeast Asia, and internationally.

Low with questionable track record.