361 Degrees International (HKG:1361) Has Some Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. And from a first read, things don't look too good at 361 Degrees International (HKG:1361), so let's see why.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for 361 Degrees International:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.088 = CN¥670m ÷ (CN¥12b - CN¥4.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, 361 Degrees International has an ROCE of 8.8%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 7.2% generated by the Luxury industry, it's much better.
View our latest analysis for 361 Degrees International
In the above chart we have measured 361 Degrees International's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for 361 Degrees International.
What Does the ROCE Trend For 361 Degrees International Tell Us?
There is reason to be cautious about 361 Degrees International, given the returns are trending downwards. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 11% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on 361 Degrees International becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a side note, 361 Degrees International's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 35% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 8.8%. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.
Our Take On 361 Degrees International's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that 361 Degrees International is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Yet despite these poor fundamentals, the stock has gained a huge 109% over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for 361 Degrees International that we think you should be aware of.
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About SEHK:1361
361 Degrees International
An investment holding company, manufactures and trades in sporting goods in the People’s Republic of China.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.