Stock Analysis

Matrix Holdings' (HKG:1005) Dividend Will Be Increased To HK$0.08

SEHK:1005
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Matrix Holdings Limited (HKG:1005) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 1st of June to HK$0.08. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 5.0%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Matrix Holdings

Matrix Holdings Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Based on the last payment, Matrix Holdings' profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 44.0% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 2,448%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1005 Historic Dividend March 31st 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.046 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.12. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Matrix Holdings' EPS has fallen by approximately 44% per year during the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.

Matrix Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Matrix Holdings (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about. Is Matrix Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.