Stock Analysis

Howkingtech International Holding Limited's (HKG:2440) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

SEHK:2440
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.7x Howkingtech International Holding Limited (HKG:2440) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Howkingtech International Holding's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Howkingtech International Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2440 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2023
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Howkingtech International Holding, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Howkingtech International Holding?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Howkingtech International Holding's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 18%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 6.7% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Howkingtech International Holding is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Howkingtech International Holding's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Howkingtech International Holding revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Howkingtech International Holding (including 1 which is significant).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Howkingtech International Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Howkingtech International Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.