Stock Analysis

Hong Kong Johnson Holdings (HKG:1955) Is Reducing Its Dividend To HK$0.0122

SEHK:1955
Source: Shutterstock

Hong Kong Johnson Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:1955) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to HK$0.0122 on the 10th of October. This payment takes the dividend yield to 2.8%, which only provides a modest boost to overall returns.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Hong Kong Johnson Holdings' stock price has reduced by 31% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Hong Kong Johnson Holdings

Hong Kong Johnson Holdings' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Before making this announcement, Hong Kong Johnson Holdings was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 2.4% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 20%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1955 Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

Hong Kong Johnson Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, the company hasn't been paying the most consistent dividend, but with such a short dividend history it could be too early to draw solid conclusions. The dividend has gone from an annual total of HK$0.075 in 2021 to the most recent total annual payment of HK$0.0122. This works out to a decline of approximately 84% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. It's not great to see that Hong Kong Johnson Holdings' earnings per share has fallen at approximately 2.4% per year over the past three years. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends.

In Summary

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Hong Kong Johnson Holdings that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Hong Kong Johnson Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hong Kong Johnson Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.