Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Greentown Management Holdings (HKG:9979) Paint A Concerning Picture

SEHK:9979
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Greentown Management Holdings (HKG:9979) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Greentown Management Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.19 = CN¥757m ÷ (CN¥6.2b - CN¥2.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

So, Greentown Management Holdings has an ROCE of 19%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Construction industry average of 6.9% it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for Greentown Management Holdings

roce
SEHK:9979 Return on Capital Employed April 11th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Greentown Management Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Greentown Management Holdings

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Construction market.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market.
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
  • No apparent threats visible for 9979.

The Trend Of ROCE

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Greentown Management Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 58% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

On a side note, Greentown Management Holdings has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 34% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Greentown Management Holdings is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 28% over the last year, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.

One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Greentown Management Holdings that you might find interesting.

While Greentown Management Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.