The board of NWS Holdings Limited (HKG:659) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 20th of December to HK$0.30. This will take the annual payment to 7.8% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
View our latest analysis for NWS Holdings
NWS Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 194% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only . Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 61%, which would make us comfortable with the dividend's sustainability, despite the levels currently being elevated.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from HK$0.63 in 2011 to the most recent annual payment of HK$0.60. Payments have been decreasing at a very slow pace in this time period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. NWS Holdings' EPS has fallen by approximately 25% per year during the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
NWS Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think NWS Holdings will make a great income stock. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, NWS Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.
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About SEHK:659
NWS Holdings
An investment holding company, operates in the toll roads, construction, insurance, logistics, and facilities management businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally.
Fair value with acceptable track record.