Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At Guoco Group (HKG:53) Leave Little Room For Excitement

SEHK:53
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Guoco Group (HKG:53) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Guoco Group is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.026 = US$375m ÷ (US$17b - US$2.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

So, Guoco Group has an ROCE of 2.6%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 3.1%, it's still a low return by itself.

View our latest analysis for Guoco Group

roce
SEHK:53 Return on Capital Employed December 17th 2022

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Guoco Group's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From Guoco Group's ROCE Trend?

Things have been pretty stable at Guoco Group, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Guoco Group in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger.

What We Can Learn From Guoco Group's ROCE

In a nutshell, Guoco Group has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 24% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

One final note, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Guoco Group (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:53

Guoco Group

An investment holding company, engages in the principal investment, property investment and development, hospitality and leisure, and financial service businesses in Hong Kong, the People’s Republic of China, the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, Singapore, Australasia, and internationally.

Good value with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.