BOC Aviation Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

BOC Aviation's earnings are forecast to decline at 4.5% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 8% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 3.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.8% in 3 years.

Key information

-4.5%

Earnings growth rate

-3.91%

EPS growth rate

Trade Distributors earnings growth	3.6%
Revenue growth rate	8.0%
Future return on equity	10.78%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Nov 18

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588)?

Oct 13

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At BOC Aviation (HKG:2588)

Sep 25

BOC Aviation (HKG:2588) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Aug 22

These 4 Measures Indicate That BOC Aviation (HKG:2588) Is Using Debt Extensively

Aug 18

What BOC Aviation Limited's (HKG:2588) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Aug 02

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588)?

Jul 12

Calculating The Fair Value Of BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588)

Jun 06

BOC Aviation's (HKG:2588) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

May 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:2588 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	2,732	808	-507	2,464	8
12/31/2026	2,656	771	-236	1,857	12
12/31/2025	2,505	695	-335	1,899	12
12/31/2024	2,143	924	94	2,566	N/A
9/30/2024	2,134	943	-267	2,558	N/A
6/30/2024	2,126	962	-628	2,549	N/A
3/31/2024	2,096	863	-993	2,416	N/A
12/31/2023	2,066	764	-1,357	2,283	N/A
9/30/2023	2,019	679	-544	2,185	N/A
6/30/2023	1,971	594	269	2,086	N/A
3/31/2023	1,946	307	535	2,047	N/A
12/31/2022	1,921	20	801	2,009	N/A
9/30/2022	1,946	7	575	1,981	N/A
6/30/2022	1,971	-5	350	1,953	N/A
3/31/2022	2,007	278	15	1,879	N/A
12/31/2021	2,042	561	-320	1,804	N/A
9/30/2021	2,028	501	-640	1,820	N/A
6/30/2021	2,013	440	-961	1,835	N/A
3/31/2021	1,988	475	-1,888	1,831	N/A
12/31/2020	1,962	510	-2,815	1,826	N/A
9/30/2020	1,923	607	-2,972	1,707	N/A
6/30/2020	1,885	705	-3,128	1,587	N/A
3/31/2020	1,844	703	-2,340	1,616	N/A
12/31/2019	1,804	702	-1,552	1,645	N/A
9/30/2019	1,767	673	-1,745	1,693	N/A
6/30/2019	1,731	645	-1,938	1,740	N/A
3/31/2019	1,677	632	-2,179	1,731	N/A
12/31/2018	1,623	620	-2,421	1,723	N/A
9/30/2018	1,549	632	N/A	1,622	N/A
6/30/2018	1,474	644	N/A	1,522	N/A
3/31/2018	1,394	615	N/A	1,397	N/A
12/31/2017	1,313	587	N/A	1,271	N/A
9/30/2017	1,245	516	N/A	1,229	N/A
6/30/2017	1,176	446	N/A	1,186	N/A
3/31/2017	1,136	432	N/A	1,146	N/A
12/31/2016	1,096	418	N/A	1,106	N/A
9/30/2016	1,075	401	N/A	1,089	N/A
6/30/2016	1,053	384	N/A	1,072	N/A
3/31/2016	1,034	364	N/A	1,092	N/A
12/31/2015	1,015	343	N/A	1,112	N/A
9/30/2015	1,006	330	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2015	992	317	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2015	970	313	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	949	309	N/A	962	N/A
9/30/2014	928	293	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2014	913	277	N/A	N/A	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2588's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.5% per year).

Earnings vs Market: 2588's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 2588's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 2588's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (8.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 2588's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 2588's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.8%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/05/13 05:57
End of Day Share Price	2025/05/13 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BOC Aviation Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
James Teo	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Dongping Zhou	China International Capital Corporation Limited
Yinmin Gu	China International Capital Corporation Limited

BOC Aviation Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Recent updates

Should You Think About Buying BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588) Now?

Rising Air Traffic Will Support Leasing Despite Delivery Delays

Does BOC Aviation (HKG:2588) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Final dividend of US$0.27 announced

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

BOC Aviation Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 29, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Final Results on Mar 13, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Should You Investigate BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588) At HK$60.75?

BOC Aviation (HKG:2588) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Is BOC Aviation (HKG:2588) Using Too Much Debt?

BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588)?

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At BOC Aviation (HKG:2588)

BOC Aviation Limited Declares an Interim Dividend for the 2024, Payable on 10 October 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Executive Changes

BOC Aviation (HKG:2588) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

These 4 Measures Indicate That BOC Aviation (HKG:2588) Is Using Debt Extensively

First half dividend of US$0.20 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.66 (vs US$0.38 in 1H 2023)

BOC Aviation Limited Declares Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2024, Payable on 10 October 2024

BOC Aviation Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 15, 2024

What BOC Aviation Limited's (HKG:2588) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Board Changes

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588)?

Now 22% overvalued

BOC Aviation Limited Appoints Mdm. Zhang Xiaolu as Chairman of the Board

Calculating The Fair Value Of BOC Aviation Limited (HKG:2588)

BOC Aviation Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Upcoming dividend of US$0.27 per share

BOC Aviation's (HKG:2588) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Resignation of Wang Xiao as A Non-Executive Director and A Member of the Risk Committee and the Strategy and Budget Committee

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Resignation of Liu Jin as Non-Executive Director, Chairman of the Board and Chairman of the Nomination Committee

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Final dividend of US$0.27 announced

BOC Aviation Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 30, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

BOC Aviation Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 21 June 2024

Now 26% overvalued after recent price rise

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Management Changes

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

Upcoming dividend of US$0.11 per share at 3.5% yield

BOC Aviation Limited Declares Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023, Payable on 12 October 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.38 (vs US$0.45 loss in 1H 2022)

BOC Aviation Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 17, 2023

BOC Aviation Limited Appoints Thomas Chandler as Chief Operating Officer

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Retirement of David Walton as Deputy Managing Director, Chief Operating Officer and Member of Senior Management Team

BOC Aviation Limited Approves to Declare Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2022

Upcoming dividend of US$0.18 per share at 3.5% yield

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

BOC Aviation Limited Announces Resignation of Chen Huaiyu as Non-Executive Director, Chairman of the Board and Chairman of the Nomination Committee

Less than half of directors are independent

Upcoming dividend of US$0.089 per share

First half 2022 earnings released: US$0.45 loss per share (vs US$0.37 profit in 1H 2021)