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Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For China Communications Construction (HKG:1800)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at China Communications Construction (HKG:1800) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for China Communications Construction, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.041 = CN¥41b ÷ (CN¥1.8t - CN¥824b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
So, China Communications Construction has an ROCE of 4.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Construction industry average of 5.8%.
See our latest analysis for China Communications Construction
In the above chart we have measured China Communications Construction's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for China Communications Construction .
So How Is China Communications Construction's ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at China Communications Construction, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 6.0%, but since then they've fallen to 4.1%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, China Communications Construction's current liabilities are still rather high at 45% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
Our Take On China Communications Construction's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by China Communications Construction's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about China Communications Construction, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
While China Communications Construction may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1800
China Communications Construction
Engages in the infrastructure construction, infrastructure design, and dredging businesses.