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Affluent Foundation Holdings Limited's (HKG:1757) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
There wouldn't be many who think Affluent Foundation Holdings Limited's (HKG:1757) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Construction industry in Hong Kong is similar at about 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Affluent Foundation Holdings
What Does Affluent Foundation Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Affluent Foundation Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Affluent Foundation Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Affluent Foundation Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Affluent Foundation Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 67% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 8.8% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Affluent Foundation Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Affluent Foundation Holdings' P/S?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Affluent Foundation Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Affluent Foundation Holdings that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1757
Affluent Foundation Holdings
An investment holding company, provides services related to foundation works in Hong Kong.
Excellent balance sheet with questionable track record.