Stock Analysis

Is Kin Pang Holdings (HKG:1722) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:1722
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Kin Pang Holdings Limited (HKG:1722) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kin Pang Holdings

What Is Kin Pang Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, Kin Pang Holdings had MO$101.1m of debt, up from MO$28.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had MO$62.6m in cash, and so its net debt is MO$38.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1722 Debt to Equity History December 17th 2021

How Strong Is Kin Pang Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kin Pang Holdings had liabilities of MO$300.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of MO$29.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of MO$62.6m and MO$344.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has MO$77.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Kin Pang Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Kin Pang Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.3. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 29.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that Kin Pang Holdings grew its EBIT by 12% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Kin Pang Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Kin Pang Holdings burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

The good news is that Kin Pang Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Zooming out, Kin Pang Holdings seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Kin Pang Holdings (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kin Pang Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.