Stock Analysis

Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings Limited's (HKG:1660) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 26%

SEHK:1660

Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings Limited (HKG:1660) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may still consider Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 3.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings

SEHK:1660 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 7th 2024

What Does Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The recent revenue growth at Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.3% last year. Revenue has also lifted 22% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings' very lofty P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhaobangji Lifestyle Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.