Stock Analysis

Do Metallurgical Corporation of China's (HKG:1618) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

SEHK:1618
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. Unfortunately, high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Metallurgical Corporation of China (HKG:1618). Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

View our latest analysis for Metallurgical Corporation of China

Metallurgical Corporation of China's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

As one of my mentors once told me, share price follows earnings per share (EPS). It's no surprise, then, that I like to invest in companies with EPS growth. Over the last three years, Metallurgical Corporation of China has grown EPS by 12% per year. That growth rate is fairly good, assuming the company can keep it up.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Metallurgical Corporation of China maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 27% to CN¥482b. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1618 Earnings and Revenue History January 18th 2022

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Metallurgical Corporation of China's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Metallurgical Corporation of China Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a HK$95b company like Metallurgical Corporation of China. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. To be specific, they have CN¥354m worth of shares. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. Even though that's only about 0.4% of the company, it's enough money to indicate alignment between the leaders of the business and ordinary shareholders.

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. For companies with market capitalizations over CN¥51b, like Metallurgical Corporation of China, the median CEO pay is around CN¥8.2m.

The CEO of Metallurgical Corporation of China only received CN¥1.6m in total compensation for the year ending . That looks like modest pay to me, and may hint at a certain respect for the interests of shareholders. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. I'd also argue reasonable pay levels attest to good decision making more generally.

Should You Add Metallurgical Corporation of China To Your Watchlist?

One positive for Metallurgical Corporation of China is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. The fact that EPS is growing is a genuine positive for Metallurgical Corporation of China, but the pretty picture gets better than that. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for Metallurgical Corporation of China that you should be aware of before investing here.

You can invest in any company you want. But if you prefer to focus on stocks that have demonstrated insider buying, here is a list of companies with insider buying in the last three months.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.