Stock Analysis

Is Weakness In Accel Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1283) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

SEHK:1283
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With its stock down 9.1% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Accel Group Holdings (HKG:1283). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Accel Group Holdings' ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Accel Group Holdings

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Accel Group Holdings is:

22% = HK$69m ÷ HK$318m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.22 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Accel Group Holdings' Earnings Growth And 22% ROE

To begin with, Accel Group Holdings has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 10% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Under the circumstances, Accel Group Holdings' considerable five year net income growth of 23% was to be expected.

As a next step, we compared Accel Group Holdings' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 0.2%.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:1283 Past Earnings Growth January 17th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Accel Group Holdings fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Accel Group Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The three-year median payout ratio for Accel Group Holdings is 34%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 66%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Accel Group Holdings is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Accel Group Holdings' performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Remember, the price of a stock is also dependent on the perceived risk. Therefore investors must keep themselves informed about the risks involved before investing in any company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Accel Group Holdings.

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Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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