Stock Analysis

Accel Group Holdings (HKG:1283) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To HK$0.007

SEHK:1283
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Accel Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:1283) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to HK$0.007 on the 10th of January. This means that the annual payment is 1.7% of the current stock price, which is lower than what the rest of the industry is paying.

Check out our latest analysis for Accel Group Holdings

Accel Group Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Based on the last payment, Accel Group Holdings' earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 7.7% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 47%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

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SEHK:1283 Historic Dividend December 4th 2023

Accel Group Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its short history, we have seen the dividend cut. Since 2020, the annual payment back then was HK$0.032, compared to the most recent full-year payment of HK$0.014. This works out to a decline of approximately 56% over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. It's not great to see that Accel Group Holdings' earnings per share has fallen at approximately 7.7% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Accel Group Holdings (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. Is Accel Group Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.