Agricultural Bank of China Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Agricultural Bank of China is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.6% and 11.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.8% in 3 years.

Key information

5.6%

Earnings growth rate

5.1%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	4.9%
Revenue growth rate	11.1%
Future return on equity	8.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	14 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

With EPS Growth And More, Agricultural Bank of China (HKG:1288) Makes An Interesting Case

Jun 25

With EPS Growth And More, Agricultural Bank of China (HKG:1288) Is Interesting

Oct 05

Does Agricultural Bank of China Limited (HKG:1288) Have A Place In Your Dividend Portfolio?

Mar 08

Is Agricultural Bank of China Limited's (HKG:1288) 7.8% Dividend Worth Your Time?

Nov 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:1288 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	790,254	291,581	N/A	N/A	13
12/31/2025	729,291	275,478	N/A	N/A	14
12/31/2024	699,306	268,853	N/A	N/A	13
9/30/2024	565,302	260,309	-1,681,599	-1,667,537	N/A
6/30/2024	562,461	255,951	-2,110,691	-2,086,630	N/A
3/31/2024	557,445	252,125	-2,618,987	-2,590,056	N/A
12/31/2023	559,761	253,293	-3,097,218	-3,068,391	N/A
9/30/2023	560,655	251,811	-2,819,784	-2,776,502	N/A
6/30/2023	555,793	246,475	-3,115,186	-3,090,228	N/A
3/31/2023	550,539	243,226	-3,287,556	-3,264,772	N/A
12/31/2022	550,017	241,993	-2,672,157	-2,650,065	N/A
9/30/2022	545,029	238,214	-2,379,674	-2,356,995	N/A
6/30/2022	543,410	233,859	-1,925,331	-1,899,874	N/A
3/31/2022	543,925	231,845	-1,654,635	-1,626,096	N/A
12/31/2021	555,860	227,385	-1,499,188	-1,473,155	N/A
9/30/2021	538,759	227,769	-1,040,998	-1,010,526	N/A
6/30/2021	524,098	219,839	-1,242,902	-1,215,883	N/A
3/31/2021	496,835	208,069	-1,363,382	-1,339,300	N/A
12/31/2020	494,633	206,395	-1,459,144	-1,436,300	N/A
9/30/2020	478,644	192,162	-1,919,046	-1,904,407	N/A
6/30/2020	480,404	194,887	-1,846,058	-1,830,654	N/A
3/31/2020	501,768	210,434	-1,748,003	-1,733,121	N/A
12/31/2019	490,745	207,498	-1,510,491	-1,496,381	N/A
9/30/2019	480,533	207,243	-1,454,976	-1,438,840	N/A
6/30/2019	475,369	203,839	-1,229,611	-1,213,963	N/A
3/31/2019	473,674	200,698	-1,186,452	-1,173,824	N/A
12/31/2018	465,910	198,183	-1,004,711	-987,663	N/A
9/30/2018	461,928	199,963	-1,027,641	-1,012,902	N/A
6/30/2018	451,744	195,558	N/A	-896,811	N/A
3/31/2018	443,350	191,388	N/A	-1,364,604	N/A
12/31/2017	444,833	188,362	N/A	-341,547	N/A
9/30/2017	435,540	185,181	N/A	-580,923	N/A
6/30/2017	432,536	182,786	N/A	-852,156	N/A
3/31/2017	427,580	180,363	N/A	43,227	N/A
12/31/2016	423,683	179,341	N/A	-717,811	N/A
9/30/2016	432,576	179,142	N/A	-201,897	N/A
6/30/2016	445,471	179,015	N/A	-60,448	N/A
3/31/2016	456,997	178,754	N/A	-554,847	N/A
12/31/2015	456,690	178,182	N/A	-575,375	N/A
9/30/2015	458,232	180,232	N/A	-892,419	N/A
6/30/2015	454,200	179,744	N/A	-967,954	N/A
3/31/2015	453,403	180,147	N/A	-706,402	N/A
12/31/2014	456,182	179,461	N/A	-789,158	N/A
9/30/2014	442,115	180,766	N/A	-983,705	N/A
6/30/2014	438,191	177,995	N/A	-784,603	N/A
3/31/2014	428,730	172,734	N/A	-810,415	N/A
12/31/2013	412,795	166,315	N/A	-860,599	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 1288's forecast earnings growth (5.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 1288's earnings (5.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (11.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 1288's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 1288's revenue (11.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 1288's revenue (11.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 1288's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.8%).

Agricultural Bank of China Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Analysts update estimates

Recent updates

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.19 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023)

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Appoints Mr. Wang Zhiheng as Vice Chairman of the Board and Executive Director

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Change in Directors

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Directorate Appointments

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Resignation of Liu Jiawang as Executive Vice President

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 30, 2024

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.23 per share

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Approves Election of JU Jiandong as Independent Non-Executive Director

Agricultural Bank of China Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.19 (vs CN¥0.20 in 1Q 2023)

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Management Appointments

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 28, 2024

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Management Changes

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.18 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2022)

Central Huijin Plans to Further Raise Holdings in Agricultural Bank of China within Six Months

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 31, 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Appoints Liu Hong as an Executive Vice President

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.24 per share at 7.8% yield

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on 08 August 2023

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023

Agricultural Bank of China Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2023

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Resignation of Wang Jingdong as Chairman of the Board of Supervisors

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Board Appointments

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Appoints FU Wanjun as President

Third quarter 2022 earnings released

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 28, 2022

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Elects Mr. Liu Jiawang as an Executive Vice President

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Resignation of Zhang Qingsong

Second quarter 2022 earnings released

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 29, 2022

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announcement on Resignation of CUI Yong as Executive Vice President

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Cash Dividend for 2021

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.21 per share

With EPS Growth And More, Agricultural Bank of China (HKG:1288) Makes An Interesting Case

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Resignation of FAN Jianqiang as Supervisor

Agricultural Bank of China Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report Q1, 2022 Results on Apr 29, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Proposes Distribution of Cash Dividends for the Year 2021, Payable on 15 July 2022 and Before or on 5 August 2022

Third quarter 2021 earnings released

With EPS Growth And More, Agricultural Bank of China (HKG:1288) Is Interesting

Non-Executive Director Hailin Zhu has left the company

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.12 in 2Q 2020)

Non-Executive Director Jiangtao Wu has left the company

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.22 per share

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Cash Dividend, Payable on or Before July 8, 2021

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.18 (vs CN¥0.18 in 1Q 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.59 (vs CN¥0.59 in FY 2019)

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Appoints Lin Li as Executive Vice President

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces the Appointment of Zhou Ji as A Non-Executive Director

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 31, 2021

Does Agricultural Bank of China Limited (HKG:1288) Have A Place In Your Dividend Portfolio?

New 90-day high: HK$3.07

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Executive Change

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Appoints GU Shu as Executive Director

New 90-day high: HK$3.05

Agricultural Bank of China Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jan 28, 2021

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Resignation of Zhou Mubing as Chairman of the Board of Directors

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Management Appointments

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Announces Change of Company Secretary

Is Agricultural Bank of China Limited's (HKG:1288) 7.8% Dividend Worth Your Time?

New 90-day high: HK$2.88

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15

Agricultural Bank of China Limited to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 31, 2020

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Elects Zhang Xuguang as an Executive Director and A Member of Each of the Strategic Planning Committee, the Risk Management Consumers' Interest Protection Committee and Risk Management Committee

Agricultural Bank of China Limited Appoints Han Guoqiang as the Secretary to the Board