Stock Analysis

Is Dongfeng Motor Group (HKG:489) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:489
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited (HKG:489) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Dongfeng Motor Group

How Much Debt Does Dongfeng Motor Group Carry?

As you can see below, Dongfeng Motor Group had CN¥52.0b of debt at June 2021, down from CN¥59.1b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥64.2b in cash, so it actually has CN¥12.1b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:489 Debt to Equity History December 20th 2021

How Healthy Is Dongfeng Motor Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dongfeng Motor Group had liabilities of CN¥141.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥28.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥64.2b in cash and CN¥18.7b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥87.7b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥47.5b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Dongfeng Motor Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Given that Dongfeng Motor Group has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Dongfeng Motor Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥49m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dongfeng Motor Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Dongfeng Motor Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last year, Dongfeng Motor Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Summing up

Although Dongfeng Motor Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥12.1b. Despite the cash, we do find Dongfeng Motor Group's level of total liabilities concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Dongfeng Motor Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.